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Poll: What do the Assembly elections mean for Cardiff council? Your votes
Our new Labour Assembly Members for Cardiff are just finding their feet, but are the city councillors from other parties trembling at the knees? We want you to tell us your predictions for the 2012 Cardiff council elections – who will win, which party will prosper and what do you hope will happen – tell us in comments and by voting on this post
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User Comments
Richiej
19 May 2011 9:12PM
The council elections will be interesting. Though with people voting on local issues rather than national issues the results could be a different outcome. The recent Welsh Assembly elections were clearly an opinion poll on the uk goverment and not the public registering their view of the way Labour has run Wales for the last four years. If that had been the case Labour would not have won 30 seats.
The local elections will be interesting in Llanishen, Riverside, Splott, St. Mellons, Radyr, Fairwater, Llandaff North and Pentyrch. The other areas from what i know having spoken to a Labour party member from Llanishen recently are unlikely to change. He believes that people are likely to vote differently at local elections and sitting councillors who have been working hard will have a far higher vote for the party they represent than the vote their party recorded in the recent elections.
We could also see some surprises and Plaid Cymru must be worried at the possibilty of losing seats in riverside and Fairwater. The Labour party are likely to pick up some seats but finding hard working candidates could be a problem for them.
ghostbiscuits
19 May 2011 8:30PM
I suspect we'll see further shifting from Lib Dem to Labour, especially in Cardiff Central where the student vote could be crucial. I'd be surprised if we still have a Lib Dem council after the elections and we'll probably looking at something of a Labour comeback.
The Tories may also benefit, having been bolstered by a reasonable performance in the Assembly, although more difficult to predict given that the public sector cuts from Westminster have yet to fully bite - which could put off public sector workers in particular.
As for McEvoy getting a 'kicking by Labour' - where are the facts to back up that assertion? In fact, Plaid's vote held up in Cardiff West - getting a 20% share in the Assembly election. Likewise in the Riverside byelection the Plaid vote actually went up, although not as much as Labour's hence the result - it was the Lib Dem vote that crashed in both the byelection and the Assembly election. I think Plaid will make gains next year as it's developed a strong band of campaigners in Cardiff, likely bolstered by a new party leader.