Mitt Romney is already well ahead in Nevada after his Florida victory. Photograph: Mike Carlson/Reuters
Donald Trump and Newt Gingrich: battle of the bad hair days. Photograph: Spencer Platt/Getty Images
Rick Santorum sports a sweater vest in Keene, New Hampshire. Photograph: Alex Wong/Getty Images
Newt Gingrich speaks during a campaign rally at Xtreme Manufacturing in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photograph: Ethan Miller/Getty Images
Donald Trump said: 'It's my honour and privilege to endorse Mitt Romney'. Photograph: Michael Nelson/EPA
Good morning. We're back from Florida with a bump, and already our eyes are set west for the Nevada caucus on Saturday, which Mitt Romney is expected to win comfortably.
Newt Gingrich is in real trouble now, because although he's trying to fight a delegate campaign, he can't avoid the momentum campaign being fought by Romney. And all the momentum is with Romney: most of the states between here and Super Tuesday in early March are likely to fall the former Massachusetts governor's way.
But look! Here's Donald Trump! He's going to endorse Newt today. Which obviously will be a load of help.
Despite Romney's frontrunner momentum, he still has a habit of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. The latest self-derailment came yesterday with his comment that he wasn't much concerned about the "very poor".
He complained that it was taken out of context – which is a bit rich for a man who built his Florida campaign on exaggerating the failings of his opponent – but the problem is that it feeds into the narrative that he's a member of a weatly elite that doesn't have an instinctive feel for the problems of ordinary Americans.
Richard Adams is off today – this is Matt Wells minding the shop.
While we are waiting for Donald Trump to speak, lets take a look at the main developments of the day, from Ryan Devereaux.
As the Republicans set their sights on Nevada a new poll suggests Mitt Romney is poised for victory in Saturday's caucus. According to a survey conducted for the Las Vegas Review Journal, the former Massachusetts governor wins 45% of the support from Nevada Republicans who plan to caucus. Gingrich trails Romney with 25%, while Rick Santorum at 11% has the edge on Ron Paul, who received 9%. Paul is not to be counted out, however. Historically the Texas congressman has performed well in caucus states, relying heavily on his army of on-the-ground organizers. Paul has been preparing for the contest in Nevada for months.
Real estate tycoon Donald Trump is expected to endorse Newt Gingrich at an event in Las Vegas today. Last year Trump suggested he might make a run at the presidency himself. Then he attempted to organise a presidential debate, but the plan was ditched after Mitt Romney refused to take part.
Further examination of filings to the Federal Election Commission reveal that, despite rules designed to ensure transparency, sources of some of the cash is hard to identify. Much of the funding to Super Pacs supporting the campaigns came from predictable sources – the coal industry, hedge funds, holding companies. But significant donations to Restore our Future, the Super Pac supporting Romney, were reported from at least one company that has a PO box for a headquarters and no employees, according to the New York Times. And while Romney has continually assailed Newt Gingrich as a lobbyist, the filings reveal he has received over $1m in support from corporate lobbyists.
Romney was in damage-control mode after an interview on CNN in which he said: "I'm not concerned about the very poor." The quote quickly went viral and by Wednesday afternoon Romney was doing his best to clarify the claim. The comment adds to a growing list of Romney gaffes that reinforce his reputation as an out-of-touch rich guy. Previous gems include his suggestion that $374,327 is "not very much" money, his offer to make a casual $10,000 bet with Rick Perry, his insistence that "corporations are people" and his off-color joke to a group of out of work Americans that, he too, is "unemployed".
Mitt Romney complains that quotes from his CNN interview were taken out of context. Judge for yourself: here's the full interview.
Breaking Donald Trump news: it looks like he's flip-flopped to endorse the flip-flopper. CNN is repporting that Trump will actually endorse Mitt Romney at the event in Las Vegas today.
The New York Times, which in this morning's print edition confidently announced that Trump would back Gingrich, is also saying that it has confirmed he will endorse Romney.
From the picture at the top of the blog, it looks liks Mitt has been practicing his "your fired" gesture.
In Las Vegas, angry campaign reporters are turning on Newt Gingrich's campaign spokesman RC Hammond. Gingrich's campaign yesterday talked up the prosepct of a Trump endorsement, leading many news organizations, including the New York Times, to report it confidently.
Quite the spectacle as over a dozen reporters swarm @rchammond asking why Gingrich campaign was telling press that Trump was in the bag
— Peter Hamby (@PeterHambyCNN) February 2, 2012
So. Several thoughts about the Trump thing.
• First in regards to Newt Gingrich, it was a very bad move of his campaign to lead journalists from major news organizations into thinking that the Trump nomination was in the bag, when it wasn't.
Those journalists are now being shouted at very loudly by their editors (or, in the case of the New York Times, at the receiving end of a very severe tutting) for making their publications and TV stations look very foolish. And journalists don't like to be made to look foolish, so they are all now turning on RC Hammond, the Gingrich spokesman.
And because Gingrich has been attacking the media so vociferously recently, the media are not exactly well disposed to him anyway. This could easily turn into a story of Gingrich campaign incompetence – and, because the media loves a narrative, a wider story of Gingrich failure.
• Second, in regards to Mitt Romney, in December he won praise for refusing to join the circus by declining an invitation to take part in a Trump-moderated TV debate. Now, Romney is embracing a man who made a fool of himself by prompoting the "birther" theory over Barack Obama's birth certificate.
• Third, also in regards to Mitt Romney, why, why, why does he want to associate himself with Trump, who is known principally for taking delight in firing people – particularly in the same news cycle as being slammed for not caring about the "very poor"?
In all seriousness, question wisdom of Mitt attaching himself to someone iconically known in pop culture for phrase "You're fired!"
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) February 2, 2012
Chuck Todd of MSNBC has the only plausible explanation for Romney accepting the Trump endorsement – fear of what might happen if he didn't.
In all seriousness, only other logical explanation re: Trump: Romney camp accepting out of fear of offending him and turning him into thorn
— Chuck Todd (@chucktodd) February 2, 2012
Unrelated fact: a new series of The Apprentice starts in two weeks.
Think Progress has done the smart thing of rounding up all the times that Donald Trump trashed Mitt Romney – including the interview last April in which he predicted Romney would lose a general election.
Mitt Romney's campaign has confirmed that he will appear alongside Donald Trump at 12.15pm at the Trump International Hotel in Las Vegas (3.15pm ET). So that settles that, then.
Let's tear ourselves away from the Trump circus for a moment and concentrate on something that actually has a bearing on the electoral process in Nevada. All the polls suggest that Ron Paul will come in a poor third there – the latest one, out this morning, has him on just 9%. But. as Ryan Devereaux pointed out at 10.42am, Paul is very well organized in the state.
Now David Weigel of Slate reminds us that the polls significantly underestimated Paul's performance in Nevada last time around, and that this time, his on-the-ground organization is even better.
In more non-Trump news, Rick Santorum's campaign has announced that he will visit a company in Minnesota that manufactures his signature sweater-vests. I'm sure that won't turn into a complete media circus with fawning coverage at all.
CNN's Peter Hamby has written up the monstering of Newt Gingrich's campaign spokesman RC Hammond (I reprinted his tweet about it earlier). Sounds like Hammond was rattled.
Was the communications mix-up a sign of the campaign's disorganization? Or had Trump given Gingrich assurances about his endorsement, and then backed away?
With a raft of digital audio recorders shoved in his face, Hammond refused to answer the questions. "The only person who knows what Donald Trump is going to do today is Donald Trump," he said, repeating the line at least five different times.
Who would have thought that a big hairy muscle bear would gaze so fondly upon Newt Gingrich? Maybe it's a granddaddy thing.
Newt Gingrich's campaign has confirmed that it will make a formal complaint to the national Republican party about Florida's intention not to award delegates to the national congress proportionately. According to the Republican party rules, any state that holds its primary before April 1 is forbidden from running a "winner takes all" vote.
Florida was already fined half of its 99 delegates for holding its vote early, in defiance of national party rules. But Florida has not yet "officially" awarded its delegates – leading to speculation that it might not do so until April.
Our Washington bureau chief, Ewen MacAskill, has been pondering what a Trump endorsement means for Romney. He comes to a pretty simple conclusion.
Endorsements can matter in politics. Sarah Palin's support certainly helped a number of Tea Party favourites secure the Republican nomination for the 2010 congressional mid-term elections. But most of the time they count for absolutely nothing. Hardly a day goes past without at least one or more announcements from the Romney press office of endorsements from Republican members of Congress, mayors or state representatives. I have long ceased even to bother opening them.
Herman Cain's endorsement of Gingrich did not help in Florida last week, unless you make the assumption that the scale of his defeat would have been even higher without it: hard to believe. Nor did Rick Perry's endorsement help Gingrich either and, with Perry's popularity dropping even in Texas, might even be more of a hindrance than a help when that state votes in April.
The only person I can think of whose endorsement might make a difference would be the Pope, who would presumably sway swithering Catholics, but he is unlikely to be endorsing anyone any time soon.
That leaves Trump. His endorsement is worth nothing and might even cost Romney a few votes. Polls show the public almost equally divided between those who like and dislike him.
The only person who takes Trump seriously in politics , I assume, Trump himself. Journalists report him, as they did last year when he claimed he was toying with a presidential run, because he is a bit of fun, something new to catch the eye of news desks beginning show fatigue with the daily grind of the Republican horse-race.
Political junkies are tweeting that Romney has accepted the endorsement to prevent irritating criticisms from Trump in the months to come. I doubt that. Romney has already showed he is not afraid of offending him, refusing to participate in his proposed post-Christmas debate. The only reason I can think of for Romney doing this for cheap publicity on a quiet day.
The Romney/Trump press conference is about to start. If you can bear it, ABC news is carrying a live stream here.
And Donald Trump is on. "Our country is in serious trouble," he says. He's worried about what the rest of the world thinks about America. "They take advantage of us, they laugh at us." No Don, that's just you.
Trump goes on: "Mitt is tough, smart and sharp. He's not going to allow bad things to continue to happen to this country we all love. Governor Romney – go out and get 'em."
Of course, that's it – elect Romney, he'll stop bad things happening. Jeez.
Romney, who has been standing at the edge of the stage looking even more uncomfortable than usual, takes to the podium, bearing the ancient Trump family seal. "Donald Trump has shown an extraordinary ability to create jobs." Huh? I thought the whole point of Donald Trump is that he fires more people than he hires, but there we go.
I thought this would be excruciating, but it's worse than that. Romney has built his enitre campaign on looking presidential, yet here he is, dancing to the strings of Trump, an egotistical reality show host who is held in derision by most people in America.
And that's it. Sensibly, Romney wraps it all up as quickly as possible. The whole thing took less than five minutes. Looks like he wants to get out of there fast.
The New York Times polling expert Nate Silver has published his predictions for the next four states: Nevada, Arizona, Michigan and Ohio. And he forecasts a near-clean sweep for Romney.
Well, I think Ewen MacAskill was right. The only advantage Mitt Romney got from accepting an endorsement from Donald Trump today was some cheap publicity on a slow news day that may otherwise have been dominated by more talk about how he doesn't care much for the very poor. Time to wrap up for the day.
Here's what we learned:
The reality TV show star and property mogul Donald Trump endorsed Mitt Romney at a joint press conference at his hotel in Las Vegas. Trump said of the GOP frontrunner: "He's not going to allow bad things to continue to happen to this country." The whole event was over in five minutes.
As the Republicans set their sights on Nevada a new poll suggests Mitt Romney is poised for victory in Saturday's caucus. According to a survey conducted for the Las Vegas Review Journal, the former Massachusetts governor wins 45% of the support from Nevada Republicans who plan to caucus. Gingrich trails Romney with 25%, while Rick Santorum at 11% has the edge on Ron Paul, who received 9%.
Despite his low poll showing, Ron Paul should not be ruled out of Nevada. Polls vastly underestimated his performance last time, and his on-the-ground organization in the state is even better this time.
Thanks for all your comments today.
Romney = out of touch multi millionaire who paid less percent taxes than most middle class Americans.
Gangrenegrich: Political Has-been, failed "contract with America", kicked out on ethics charges, took payola from Fannie/Freddie thinks he has a prayer, pure hubris.
This shows the Republicans have no clue, Obama will trounce either of them!
trump had to be torn here.
gingrich groveled more for his endorsement, which goes a long way with trump.
but trump knows romeny will win and he doesn't want to endorse a loser.
interestingly enough, this may be a glimpse of things to come. Doners who may prefer gingrich aren't going to throw good money after bad forever, even if gingrich himself is willing to fight to the end.
Trump endoses Mr. Romey not Newt!!!
The Guardian made a big mistake to print Trump endosed Newt!
You're fired!
Looks like the Donald's hair had a little fun with the Gingrich campaign. That oughta set Newt right into orbit.
I wont believe Trump's endorsement until I see the endorsement certificate.
Do you think these characters are really aware that being in front of the camera means every stupid thing you say is recorded for posterity? How would any of these guys walk back their statements in a general election?
Romney was taken out of context in that he was making the point that he was focused on the middle classes who he argues are a disadvantaged group, the basic populist appeal all politics on both sides of the Atlantic make at the moment. He is suggesting that the poor have a safety net and that he would fix said safety net if it was broken.
It's a ignorant remark delivered in a flippant way which made it worse. However, It is out of context to suggest that he was disregarding the poor.
The thing about the Romney's 'very poor' gaffe is that, even leaving aside his assertion that the ever-popular 'middle class' are doing worse than the poor who 'have a safety net' (and the middle class don't? Besides I didn't think he was in favour of safety nets) is the even worse choice of words he used suggesting that the poor aren't Americans...
http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/02/romney-not-concerned-about-the-very-poor/
“I’m in this race because I care about Americans,” Romney told CNN’s Soledad O’Brien this morning after his resounding victory in Florida on Tuesday. “I’m not concerned about the very poor. We have a safety net there. If it needs repair, I’ll fix it.”
The author wrote:
Newt Gingrich is in real trouble now, because although he's trying to fight a delegate campaign, he can't avoid the momentum campaign being fought by Romney. And all the momentum is with Romney: most of the states between here and Super Tuesday in early March are likely to fall the former Massachusetts governor's way.
After which there are a load of conservative and southern states.
Which will give all the so-called political analysts a chance to talk out the other side of the mouth about Gingrich's momentum.
Do the maths, people: nearly all the states award delegates proportionately. Romney can't win the nomination getting thirty or forty percent of the vote. And even Ronney's winner-take-all Florida delegation may be challenged at the convention.
Romney wasn't clear about the very poor re the safety net, but not in the way he claimed. Let me explain. Someone's hanging in there, has a job and paying their bills but not much more, and then gets hit with huge medical bills. Between the deductible and co-pays, that person runs out of money. So yes medical care is provided - AFTER bankruptcy is declared and the family loses everything. There are people who lost their home because of medical bills. Do you think they have money to store their furniture and possessions? No - it's all gone. They're at square one.
My point is, these victims weren't necessarily "very poor" to start with - it's the so-called "safety net" that made them "very poor". I doubt Romney has any idea at all how the system works. He's focused on taking to the middle class, and taking care of the 1%. We used to say, "I wouldn't elect him dogcatcher", but based on his earlier form even that's not going to happen.
If I were an elephant, I'd file a class action suit against the GOP for defamation of character.
btw - I wouldn't blame the Gingrich campaign for the mixup. I don't know what Trump said to Gingrich about it, but I expect it was little more than "I will be making my announcement." I would assume that after Romney's comments about liking to fire people and not caring about the very poor, Team Gingrich didn't expect Romney to want or accept Trump's endorsement. Which would leave Gingrich. Instead of calling Team Gingrich incompetent over this, I would call Team Romney incompetent.
I bet Axelrod didn't expect his job to be this easy.
@AVoiceFromAmerica - you are completely right of course, including about talking out of the other side of our mouths. But the question is whether Gingrich has the financial wherewithall to hold on through March. He may well do - but it's a moot point. And in the meantime he gets a battering all through February.
He may be just narcissistic enough to think he has a prayer, but even if he didn't think so, he'd go ahead out of sheer spite - he's way too self-absorbed to think of quitting a good show (especially when it's being bankrolled by someone else) now and going back to his semi-obscure frustrated sulks . . .
He's having fun and he likes the limelight. So what if he splits the party and weakens its chances of beating Obama? He just doesn't care - and that, in and of itself, should tell the Republicans something about who rises to the top in their circles.
I like this tweet:
D Wasserman Schultz @DWStweets Next up: Who is Snooki going to endorse? #Trumpendorsement
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He'll have enough money. They'll both have enough money. The establishment wants these two to club each other flat (like the two cavemen they are) so a dark horse candidate can be nominated at the convention. Someone they don't think the Democrats will have time to vet (and communicate the results to the voting public) before the election. The convention is August 27-30. Two months isn't very long, although Team Obama knows how to use cyberspace.
My point is...if the Democrats campaign against Gingrich and/or Romney, instead of the GOP itself, they'll be back at square one only two months before the election. The current GOPers have been out there message-testing every possible message. All the GOP has to do is nominate someone without much of a track record who will cherry-pick whatever's been selling the best to both the base and the independents.
If I were the Democrats, I'd be focusing on the Congressional races A LOT, particularly those in redistricted states where a lot of voters have no idea who their new "incumbent" is, let alone his/her issue positions and who the people are running against him/her. Clue: if you don't know your new district, you're going to be following the wrong campaign.
If you really think the poor have a real safety net in the US then you are as out of touch with reality as he. Last year 45,000 Americans died needlessly due to not having access to medical care. Is that your idea of a safety net? Romney does not have a clue what it is to be poor in America.
Why didn't Mitt Romney ask the Donald, as a personal favor, to endorse Newt Gingrich? Doesn't he or his advisors know that an embrace by a clown/blowhard who wears a muskrat on his head, and is most famous for "You're Fired," cannot possibly be good publicity.
Matt Wells should have a new photo taken, don't you think? If he's going to spend this much time on the GOP campaigning, he needs to have a more skeptical look. Now if he could copy this Captain Jack Harkness look, it would be much more on-message.
After all - someone has to save Planet Earth from the aliens and robobots and cybermen and moonmen.
Unrelated fact: a new series of The Apprentice starts in two weeks.
Does that mean that the wall-to-wall "quality programming" in the form of political garbage being broadcast 24/7 on what is purportedly US media will have to be suspended to allow time for the "property developer" to pose and parade his ego yet again?
Oh.. if only the species were not so transparent, of no substance and full of 'hot hair'...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nVPuJpJYjfQ
Trump is a birther and unfit to endorse anybody
Ron Paul finally gets some billionaire love. Peter Thiel, Paypal Founder and Facebook Investor drops $900K on his SuperPac
http://www.billionairechronicles.net/ron-paul-billionaire-supporter
Trump for Romney? What happened to the Tea Party and conservative credentials? Business interests trump everything.
I definitley need a new photo. I already have a Jack Harkness coat, so I'm halfway there, I think.
AVFA- Yup. Mittens can't get to 50% plus 1 delegate by winning with 36% in the primaries.
And newt is going to roll through thsioe deep red Soutern states like Bill Sherman's Army.
whoops- bad analogy.
Both are irrelevant old men in a World that's passed them by, now if Newt had gotten the support of Donald's hair piece that would be news.
Punxsutawney Phil's endorsement would be of greater value then Trump's
Wow, what we have here are two "weirdos"...this am the Morning Joe guys on MSNBC, including Joe, declared that Romney is just plain weird. Regarding Trump, more than one woman has declared that The Donald is "too weird and too orange for me..." Romney just does not connect with others....Bill Clinton is the far opposite...he could sell Fords to Chevy dealers, folks. To Neut Got-Rich Romney is a "Massachusetts moderate", only a step above being called a "LIBERAL"..what happened to the old Reagan mantra, his 11th Commandment: "Thou shalt not speak ill of any fellow Republican"? This from a former FDR Democrat until he met Nancy.
Doesn't matter. Romney, Gingrich, Santorum....any of them will beat BO. Ron Paul, not so much.
Post some photos so we can vote. :-)
Just remember what Harry Evans said journalists should always keep in mind when interviewing politicians:
"Who is this lying bastard and what's he trying to lie to me about this time?"
and your expression should be perfect.
So what did we learn today?
We learned that Mittens' hair proved irresistible to The Donald's hair and that an endorsement shellacked with a value-sized can of Aqua-Nett Surpreme Hold is worth millions.
We learned that the Susan G. Komen fund only cares about some cures for some women, while they rake in the millions on kitschy pink ribbonware.
We learned that Romney is as syntactically challenged as he is pragmatically challenged, with this giddy little nugget this morning:
"There are some things that you just can't imagine happening in your life -- this is one of them. Being in Donald Trump's magnificent hotel and having his endorsement is a delight."
Oh, my country for a man who can string together two sentences without a grammatical and stylistic catastrophe.
Why is Stephen Harper and his conservatives trying to behave like republican douchebags and cut back on the pensions This will make things rough for very poor people especially women.Does he actually think Obama will get beaten by these guys like Mittens and Newt and he can have a friend south of the border.Stephen Harper likes to rescue feral cats I wish he would do it full time
Also, he's saying he'll repair the safety net at the same time he's putting forth plans to shred it further.
I think Harper is attacking pensions for ideological reasons. I very much know a lot of very poor people, including women, will be very badly hurt. I hope you people back east can raise enough of a stink to stop this or at least claw it back. No one in Ottawa pays attention to us out west.
We've got our hands full with public housing sell offs by Mayor Ford plus hes attacking the unions .The Harper conservatives hate Toronto and thats one of the reasons Tim Hudak got beat Harper thinks he has it made and he always gets the GG to do what he wants .Its going to be very tough as all our safety nets are eroded
Now the reason for Trump's opposition to offshore wind turbines within sight of his proposed golf complex in Scotland is becoming clear. He is one of those anti-science Republicans who think that destroying the environment is of little importance in comparison to adding to his personal fortune. Scotland would be better off without him.
Hang in there, Connie. I've lived here through the Campbell government, and it took the HST to finally drive him from office. Can you imagine-charging tax on kid's school supplies!
But sanity is coming to BC. If/when it returns to the US is more worrisome.
I prefer the slow news day angle to this endorsement. I am not sure what it brings to the Romney campaign .....
"Trump endorses Romney who Trumps Newt" !?
Was the endorsement in Circus Circus?
Where are the Paulistas to comment when you need them ..... Probably conserving energy for then long haul!
To adult & conniefromdaytona:
I understand that there may be political problems up in Canada; in fact where the hell aren't there political problems? I genuinely like Canada and Canadians having lived there for almost 2 years, but with all due respect, these comments are
are not applicable to this blog.
This is about almost unbelievably odious individuals. Not quite sure how Romney, or anybody for that matter, can continue to make such stupid statements or ally himself with such stupid and unsavory people.
My suggestions for future GOP primary debate venues:
Roswell, New Mexico
Bermuda Triangle
I live in hope.
Romney, Gingrich, Santorum....any of them will beat BO.
Thank you for putting them in the context in which they belong.
They are indeed different brands of under arm deodorant.
How would any of these guys walk back their statements in a general election?
The usual way conservatives (who, remember, are proud that they "don't do reality politics"): They'll simply say they never said any of the things that they said. And when someone plays them the video, they will still say, "That's not what I said. I never said it. If you say I said it then you are a liar".
And the same people who believe in Alien abduction, and The Rapture, but not in evolution or thermodynamics (ie climate change) will fall for it.
It's never about truth with these guys, or their supporters. It's only about faith. Except of course when it's about hatred stoked with fear, but that's really just the flip side of their faith.
mikedow
2 February 2012 4:26PM
Trump endorses the Turd That Talks, no one seems on side with the Gaffe That Walks, and most don't want to be seen in company with the other two losers.